[SCOT goes POP!] Apocalyptic poll puts Reform UK on highest vote share EVER

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Apocalyptic poll puts Reform UK on highest vote share EVER

This is starting to look highly significant now.  Hot on the heels of the Find Out Now poll that put Reform UK in the outright lead, we have an Opinium poll that puts Reform on 27% - the highest vote share the party has ever recorded in any poll conducted by any polling firm.  I'm not even just talking about a new high watermark since the rebrand from Brexit Party to Reform in early 2021, because it even exceeds the Brexit Party's record high of 26% from their brief purple patch in mid-2019.

GB-wide voting intentions (Opinium, 22nd-24th January 2025):

Labour 28% (-1)

Reform UK 27% (+3)

Conservatives 21% (-2)

Liberal Democrats 11% (+1)

Greens 8% (+1)

SNP 3% (+1)

Plaid Cymru 1% (-)

An issue we used to talk about during the indyref was whether opinion polls have a snowball effect - ie. whether members of the public looked at polling trends and were influenced into changing their own voting intentions.  This might be one of the situations where it does happen, because these good polls for Reform are getting an unusual amount of media coverage, and the most likely impact will be to put the thought in people's minds that the Tories could be a busted flush, and that right-wing anti-Labour voters should move across to Reform UK as the next big thing.  If so, there could be some dramatic movement in the weeks to come.  The process could potentially be accelerated if any Tory MPs (Suella Braverman?) defect to Reform.

Elsewhere in the Opinium poll, Keir Starmer's net approval ratings have dropped to yet another new all-time low.  They now stand at a horrific -35.

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The Scot Goes Pop Fundraiser for 2025 was launched a few hours ago, and so far the progress has been relatively slow.  £54 has been raised towards the target of £6800 (0.8% funded).  But am I downhearted?  No, by Jiminy!  The fundraiser post will remain pinned to the top of the blog over the coming days, so remember to scroll down to check for any newer posts.  And if you'd like to help Scot Goes Pop continue for another year, card donations are welcome HERE.  Donations can also be made direct via Paypal (eliminating all processing fees depending on the option you select from the menu).  My Paypal email address is:   jkellysta@yahoo.co.uk

Source: Apocalyptic poll puts Reform UK on highest vote share EVER