Today's YouTube commentary is of course about the new Scottish poll from More In Common - the first full-scale Scottish poll from any company since June. The seats projection from the poll is pretty extraordinary, showing the SNP on 61 seats - just four short of a single-party overall majority. However, if anyone is tempted to think that this means John Swinney's plans to make an independence referendum conditional on the SNP winning an overall majority may not be quite so misjudged after all, I'm afraid that's not the case, and I explain why in the video. I also give my thoughts on the SNP event this morning, which doubled down on the Swinney plan.