Another week, another SUBSAMPLE SENSATION as SNP soar to twenty-point lead in YouGov crossbreak for the agesGB-wide voting intentions (YouGov / Sky News, 22nd-23rd June 2025):
Reform UK 27% (-)
Labour 23% (-)
Conservatives 17% (-)
Liberal Democrats 16% (+1)
Greens 10% (-1)
SNP 3% (-)
Plaid Cymru 1% (-)
Scottish subsample: SNP 39%, Reform UK 19%, Labour 17%, Liberal Democrats 10%, Greens 6%, Conservatives 6%
Oh, who will save the Scottish Tories now? The number of respondents in these subsamples is tiny, but there does seem to be a weird consistency to the SNP doing markedly better after their setback in the Hamilton by-election than before. That may seem counterintuitive but it's not impossible that it's a real trend.
Source: Another week, another SUBSAMPLE SENSATION as SNP soar to twenty-point lead in YouGov crossbreak for the ages (//)