Landmark Scottish poll from Survation: SNP/Greens on course to retain pro-indy majority, Reform overtake Labour and may become main opposition party, Tories could be heading for the exit doorShould Scotland be an independent country? (Survation / True North)
Yes 49% (-)
No 51% (-)
Scottish Parliament constituency ballot:
SNP 33% (-3)
Reform UK 19% (+5)
Labour 19% (-3)
Liberal Democrats 11% (+2)
Conservatives 11% (-2)
Greens 5% (-)
Alba 1% (-)
Scottish Parliament regional list ballot:
SNP 29% (+1)
Reform UK 20% (+8)
Labour 18% (-4)
Conservatives 12% (-4)
Liberal Democrats 10% (+1)
Greens 9% (-1)
Alba 3% (+1)
Seats projection: SNP 58, Reform UK 21, Labour 18, Conservatives 13, Liberal Democrats 10, Greens 8
There seems to be a small discrepancy in the seats projection - the combined numbers add up to 128 rather than 129. However, it's clear the SNP and Greens between them would have a pro-indy majority, albeit a small one.
More details and analysis to follow shortly...
Source: Landmark Scottish poll from Survation: SNP/Greens on course to retain pro-indy majority, Reform overtake Labour and may become main opposition party, Tories could be heading for the exit door (//)