First post-locals opinion poll shows expected momentum for ReformIf anything, the only surprise is that it isn't even bigger, but nevertheless 27% is a new high watermark for Reform with More In Common, and four points is also their biggest lead so far with the firm.
GB-wide voting intentions (More In Common, 3rd-4th May 2025):
Reform UK 27% (+3)
Labour 23% (-1)
Conservatives 21% (-2)
Liberal Democrats 15% (-)
Greens 8% (-)
SNP 3% (+1)
Plaid Cymru 1% (-)
23%, although grim, is not a new post-election low for Labour, who have previously been as low as 21% with More In Common - although that number always looked like an outlier.
The main disappointment for Reform will be that it looks as if they've failed to use the 'shock and awe' effect of the local elections to pull away decisively from the Conservatives and establish themselves as the only credible challenger to Labour. They've increased their advantage over the Tories in this poll from one point to six, which is obviously a significant change, but it certainly isn't enough to leave the Tories with no way back.
Source: First post-locals opinion poll shows expected momentum for Reform (//)