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ALBA and Independence => Blogosphere => Topic started by: ALBA-Bot on Apr 02, 2025, 03:13 PM

Title: [SCOT goes POP!] Labour in total freefall as they slump to new post-election low in any poll from any polling firm
Post by: ALBA-Bot on Apr 02, 2025, 03:13 PM
Labour in total freefall as they slump to new post-election low in any poll from any polling firm

These numbers initially seemed so wild that I had to double-check they weren't an April Fool, but someone from More In Common posted them on Twitter this morning (ie. as opposed to yesterday) so they do appear to be absolutely real.

GB-wide voting intentions (More In Common, 28th-31st March 2025):

Conservatives 26% (+1)
Reform UK 25% (+1)
Labour 21% (-3)
Liberal Democrats 13% (+1)
Greens 7% (-3)
SNP 2% (-1)
Plaid Cymru 1% (-)

21% is a new post-election low for Labour, not only with More In Common but across all polling firms.  What makes it so startling is that the previous low of 22% was only ever recorded by Find Out Now - no other firm has shown a figure lower than 23% until now, so for More In Common to suddenly show 21% gives the impression of Labour falling through the floor.

Other firms have reported that Labour's position has stabilised very recently, albeit at an extremely low level.  The new Opinium poll at the weekend had Labour unchanged at 26% - but the snag is that the 26% in the previous poll was a post-election low with Opinium.  The new YouGov poll has Labour slightly recovering from a post-election low of 23% to get back to 24%, but that just looks like margin of error noise.

And before KC and his chums get excited, margin of error noise is almost certainly the explanation for the SNP's dip in the More In Common poll.  The Scottish subsample size is tiny.

*. *. *


My own question to Zulfs (a national treasure if ever there was one): if we're in our "living rooms", but you "see us", and "others can also see us", does that mean you've *installed spy cameras in our living rooms*?  Shocking behaviour.  Shannon will have to call the fire brigade on you.


Source: Labour in total freefall as they slump to new post-election low in any poll from any polling firm (//)