Boxing Day poll shows Scottish Tories on course for a 1997-style total wipeout at WestminsterBizarrely, given that it's currently either Christmas Day or Boxing Day (depending on your point of view on the significance of midnight), there's a poll out. It's in the
Sunday Mail, and so far all I know is what's contained on the front page of the paper, which is very little. No indication of which polling company was used (although I suspect it might have been Survation, because the
Sunday Mail have used them before), and there's no sign of the full voting intention numbers. The only thing that's revealed is that the Scottish Tories are projected to be on course for a 1997-style total wipeout at Westminster, which is suggested to be as a result of the fallout from the Downing Street party scandal. Hopefully there might be independence numbers in the poll, because I'd like to know if the scandal has had any effect on those. But the Tory vote share must be low by recent standards, because a seats projection of zero is a long way from the norm.
I'll update this post with the poll results as and when they emerge.
UPDATE: It's turned out to be an Opinium poll, not Survation.
Scottish voting intentions for the next UK general election (Opinium / Sunday Mail, 15th-22nd December 2021):
SNP 48% (-3)
Labour 22% (+5)
Conservatives 17% (-4)
Liberal Democrats 7% (+2)
The percentage changes are measured from the last Opinium poll, which was commissioned by Sky News in September.
Seats projection (with changes from 2019 election): SNP 56 (+8), Liberal Democrats 2 (-2), Labour 1 (-), Conservatives 0 (-6)
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Neale Hanvey, the Alba Party MP for Kirkcaldy & Cowdenbeath, has an extended opinion piece in
Lesbian and Gay News about the three recent opinion polls on GRA reform - namely the Scot Goes Pop / Panelbase poll from October, the Murray Blackburn Mackenzie / Survation poll from November, and the very recent For Women Scotland / Panelbase poll, all of which showed overwhelming public opposition to legally-recognised gender self-identification. You can read Neale's piece
HERE.
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You can catch up with my Scot Goes Popcast interview with
iScot editor Ken McDonald
HERE (on video) or
HERE (audio only).
Source: Boxing Day poll shows Scottish Tories on course for a 1997-style total wipeout at Westminster (//)